Trudeau's Government Faces Potential Collapse as NDP Ends Two-Year Agreement

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• Trudeau's Government Faces Potential Collapse as NDP Ends Two-Year Agreement

  Justin Trudeau's Liberal government in Canada, elected in 2021, has had a minority of seats in the parliament. What just happened today is that his partner, the New Democratic Party, led by Jagmeet Singh, pulled its support away from the Liberal Party. It wasn't a formal coalition, but the fact that the NDP had been willing to back the liberals, while they had not enough seats to form a majority, was keeping the government in power.

  Justin Trudeau's government now no longer can count on the support of the NDP and his government is outnumbered by all of the opposition parties. So what should happen next is a vote, a vote  of confidence in the government or a vote on a major budget bill, in which the opposition parties unite and try to bring down the government.

  The conservatives have some seats, with the NDP they still fall short of a  majority, which means the only way they could bring the government down is with the assistance of the Bloc Quebecois, the separatist party that runs in federal elections in Quebec. That's a very difficult alliance, between a social democratic party, a conservative party, and a Quebec nationalist party.

  It may be very tricky for the opposition to get their act together, but if they can, an election could follow in just 28 days, meaning that Canadians could vote even before the Americans have their election on November 5th. 

  For the United States, in particular for the Biden administration, relations with Justin Trudeau's Liberal government have been very good, increasingly looking like some of the strongest relations that Canada's had with an American administration since the Obama administration.

  Going into an election in which the US will make a very fateful choice, now, Canada-US relations will also be in the mix, and it's very possible that the next Canadian government, or even the next American government, will not be so inclined to work together as Justin Trudeau and President Joe Biden.